chickened out of O3 (P)lOOKIER, which i'd seen last turn and was too titled to find O2 s(P)OOKIER #knowledgesaddest for phony #findingsaddest for O2 s(P)OOKIER
I spent forever on this play too and couldn't wrap my sleepy head around it. Quackle plays PI J14, fishing for FEVERING/FORGIVEN/AVENGING/AVERTING/AGENTIVE. It doesn't hit often, but it's my best chance. All OPING accomplishes is make it easy for Rafi to shut everything down. (-23) (-7% win chances) #strategylarge
And SIEGING doesn't play. I hate it when these small exchanges don't pan out! This was a suboptimal move and is where I feel like I lost the game. I can score the same with 9E GI and keep much better. While I do set up SEXING, he can use Column G to both score and block effectively. #strategylarge
losing the wheels on the bus here. Missing G10 H(OW)F, but holding on to what I hope will be a closed board soon. Also missing 13I DASHI which is fine. #visionmedium #findingmedium
SEROW wins the sim instead. I would have thought that slating the R (the first R, at that) would be less dangerous than an S, and harder to parallel besides, but I guess not. Or maybe SEROW is better precisely because it's easier to parallel, taking out the lane. (-1) #strategysmall
I might take out Column K seeing how easy PEE is to hook, but there's a better bingo that I missed either way- D8 (C)LAMOURS for 2 more. Not to mention, Libero isn't out of this one yet with how easy it is to hook this board. #visionmedium
I saw N2 BREN immediately but chickened out of it. saw 5K BR(I)N and 5J NEV(I), never considered 5L V(I)NT etc etc. i knew this was a mistake as i was doing it, but i didnt wanna phony and have this rack for a second turn #knowledgesaddest
I didn't have much time here and decided I just needed to play fast and I missed K3 (G)OETY. I also wasn't sure of 12H (C)OUTHY. #timesaddest #knowledgesaddest
however, in 2017, I won against Joe Edley, thinking I had cashed, but everything else did not go my way and I ended up right outside the money. I saw WEEPIE and was just too uneasy about its validity to play it. I knew that I could afford a few small mistakes, so long as I didn't lose a turn. Though, I had lost a turn to Karl earlier in the tournament and still won that game. WEEPIE is obviously a word and I just have no self-confidence. #knowledgesmall
Hmm. Odd miss of PERCOIDS, I absolutely did not even look through the C at all once I saw this. One benefit of PRODIGIES is that if Tim had a higher scoring tile he probably would have tried to play it last turn, so I'm a favorite to hit the H column hard. #visionsmall
I didn't miss out on as many points or opportunities to pick the X this time. But this play is still questionable. I should be looking for an option that takes out the 3x3 after he just fished with AE. I like 1G COQUE(T) better than LOQUAT. #visionsmall
keeping the VUG combo on my rack does not seem to be the greatest idea i've ever had. O12 (H)OVE might be better, takes the trip away from my opp, scores fine #strategysad
Not really sure what my rationale for not playing I5 WYNS was. Wanted to hold onto my S in case I felt like trying PACOS? #strategyLARGE Gonna put a #findingsaddest here too because I can't remember if I saw this
I think I have to just give up and cut spread with K11 ADIEU at this point. Even if I draw the L, I have to play 5 tiles to score anything. I'll have better odds of drawing 14J J(E)TTY as opposed to 14J J(A)NTY after my play. #strategysmall
The two best plays are DEEPLY and O1 YELPED. Both empty the bag and allow the same bingos, except at 3G, where DEEPLY allows SC(O)RELIN(E) and ST(O)NEWAR(E), while YELPED allows only ST(O)NEWAL(L). Thus YELPED wins with more draws. #endgamesmall
K5 JAY. I totally missed that spot. Also B10 CA(R)NY sets up a huge X spot which I guess is okay since I'm down a lot but I didn't even notice it. #VISIONSADDEST
i saw TARRIER but it seemed dumb to block up a couple of (bad) lanes. however, 10 pts is 10 pts. i should just take the points, right? what do you think? -7 #strategymedium
#knowledgesmall for WINDWAy. I desperately set up a 3x3 with TAO. The sim winners are C1 ALO(W) and A3 OLEA, with the same idea. ALO(W) nearly maximizes my average score next turn, while TAO maximizes my opponent's score. #strategymedium
Plays on column B making EWE block all of Mike's bingos, and they even preserve column E for me to use next turn. Quackle chooses B4 POPE, followed by B6 PE; although I might have chosen PE just so Mike doesn't know my rack. E5 PIE allows AILMENT, ALIMENT, ALUMINA, AMENTIA, and VALIANT at B1. #tacticslarge
LIBEL 11I is actually simming better; i suppose there's the dangerous hotspot i'm creating, plus it's relatively easy for him to score a bunch at 11K as well with the right letters. -2 #strategysmall #finding
I was really happy to have found this unorthodox play, figuring it frustrated Joey's S spot while setting up the BLE combo at H4. To my indignation, Quackle absolutely HATES this play, going for KEBLAH F9 (which I didn't see), or the more obvious BARE, BARD, BARED 10G. (-13) #visionlarge, #strategymedium
i spent a long time trying to talk myself into TEUCH but couldn't pull the trigger on it, thinking i was confusing it with TEUGH. i have not as much time to study as some other, taller experts. #knowledgelarge
Second best play to B8 DEXIE, but could've been a very costly mistake. Vince's best play of VUMS F5 will tie after DEY, making DEXIE the only win. #endgamemedium though obviously it would certainly feel more like an endgamelarge to miss the only winning move. 0:30
3B PAEAN is worth thinking about, and so is B5 PA. PATH keeps a pretty bad leave and opens the board right after he fished. bad idea. -4 #strategymedium
Tough call here, I tried to Nigel this out and figure out as many permutations as I could here to see which bingo would yield the lowest chance of counter-bingo, or whether maybe I should just fish off an N or the D; as it turns out all three bingos yield exactly the same bingo% of 71%, but INTENDS does in fact yield the lowest average scores. It does look like I work out a little better here by fishing off the D, which hits everything except the M. #strategysmall
This is a good play, however, O7 YEN(t)E for 40 is clearly better and was missed. IIP isn't that bad of a leave with only 1 more I to draw. #findingmedium
Sim says 2F VE(R)TUE, I guess, but I'm not sure I could ever play that in this position. Anyway, there's probably something better than this. #strategysad
#knowledgelarge for GOITERING*
I thought this was a decent try, considering there were already 7 E's in play and 3/4 of tiles unseen. He's still at like 41% to have an E though. I should probably just play E7 TE(E)PEE and brace. Thought there was a chance Noah would miss EPEE? But he's a young player, why would he miss that? #questionable
I didn't want to play K5 VIRT(U) and give back 6J Q(I), but I guess it's probably fine. I thought I might be able to induce some low scoring Q dump or an exchange with this play. #strategysadder
A bunch of plays sim better, including G6 AKA, E5 RAKIA, and a few more plays on the G column. I played HAIKA quite fast - clearly I should've slowed down and looked harder. #findingmedium
I'm not sure if I'm supposed to challenge this off or not. It depends on how much I think Karl will see/find. If I challenge it off, the problem is I have no good plays that don't give back bingos I think he can find, and my rack is bad while he has the blank. On the other hand, if I keep this on and play 14B BR(A)INING, I'm down a tempo. I'm not sure what's best here. #strategysadder
I found this turn difficult to evaluate given all of the high scoring options. I looked at YCLEPT plays, plays in the bottom left, and plays in the bottom right. I did not consider plays at 7G with the J which are key here. I can block the triple triple with 15M MOY and then score very well without needing the Y for the YCLEPT hook after he takes the bottom left triple by playing 7G JOB. #strategysaddest
OOF is right. at least i didnt throw away a win by missing 10G E(M)OTICON. i saw N10 COOTI(E) but thought i could still make up spread if i bingoed next turn #findingsaddest #strategysaddest
just with BRANG*, I was about ready to snap challenge, and the longer I took, the less I felt I should challenge. This is a huge mistake, but I still figured my best chances were holding on from this position. But I missed AR(M)Y for 39, which is too many to say no to. There is very limited risk of 7 consonants next turn being pivotal enough to lose the game, and also very minimal chance of not drawing a vowel, given the 15/10 vowel/consonant ratio. Something like 10-15%? I just missed AR(M)Y, but worse, I made this play with absolutely no clue about RALLYE, a word I know. I never saw RALLYE. This was Jackson's game to come back and win. Incredibly good pressure by him, picking at my confidence levels more and more every turn. #knowledgesaddest #visionsaddest #strategysaddest #findingsaddest