GAWSY crossed my mind here but I didn't want to take a risk - thought HYE would run the score up to where I could outrun a lot of bingos. I'll give myself a blanket #knowledgelarge here to cover the rest of the game for not knowing CASTLINGS for sure.
I thought I need to make some desperate fish here but my best shot is to just try and outrun with plays making BIRLS. I really just needed more time to figure it out. #timesaddest #strategysaddest
Oof, missed H8 (U)NAwARES for 8 more. I was correct to pass up J8 SANtERA because of bingoes with SANTERAS and I also didn't care for ARSENAL at 9D or 7D. My play sims well ahead of the 9D and 7D placements, but after an exchange 5, (U)NAwARES would have been fine to do if I had seen that. #findingmedium
definitely need to play NUBIlE instead of TUBINg considering last play. Still loses just barely. Maybe I fish a U for an A. I thought I could win if I drew the S. #strategysaddest
I put down CRAVATS and SHTETL, saw that it gave back WAI, and then did HEST instead. #knowledgesaddest for CRAVATE this entire game #timesaddest for this entire game
Missed two bingos here after he surprisingly blocked ANALYSTS K5. SATYRALS# and STAYSA(I)L. I have no excuse for the latter other than of course I would miss a Y bingo. This turn was also fascinating because I wondered how much the A improved my leave. If I play K9 SAY, I score 1 less, and don't block the triple. However, I understcored SAY by 2 in my head. Still, as somewhat expected, SAY is a much better play than SA(T)AY. I should have gathered that conclusion over the board. #findingsaddest #strategysad
LUAU seems a bit better, from the L in UNTITLED, it blocks some bingoes and lowers his avg. that being said I scor a lot more with ET than AEIT and it's a less risky leave. #tacticssmall
Once I saw DISARmS I looked no further; hence I missed DISbARS and vISARDS in the same spot. Quackle strongly favors fishing off an S (13G QUITS) to threaten a bingo out on column L or N with any possible draw. #tacticslarge
this is actually bad because I can no longer Q stick him when he bingos, since 12B and N1 will be open. I should play URI(N)AL 14E instead. That solves all of the problems and should always win, while this does not always win #strategySADDEST
Incredible. Not only did I not know 14J QuIST, but I also chickened out of putting the S on JETSOM and didn't think to play 14J WRIST. This move is so bad that I'm tagging it with multiple mistakes. #knowledgelarge #knowledgelarge #visionlarge
YET or YELD E9 win the sim easily. It's possible that I missed the Y hook on OGEE, but maybe it didn't seem right to fish at this score. E5 does seem like a good thing to block, but apparently not worth breaking up the rack over. Either #strategymedium or #visionmedium (-6)
The following bingos score 89: 15A cOrDLIK(E), gOaDLIK(E), hOoDLIK(E), hoODLIK(E), LOrDLIK(E), lOrDLIK(E), and tOaDLIK(E). I chose tOaDLIK(E) because I was more sure of it than the other options (I also considered some phonies, notably gOlDLIKE* and woODLIKE*), despite seeing that it allows A8 BORTIES(T)#; it also allows COMBIES(T)#. Meanwhile, cOrDLIK(E) allows A8 COSMETI(C), hOoDLIK(E) or hoODLIK(E) allows A8 BESMIRC(h), and LOrDlIK(E) or lOrDLIK(E) allows A8 COISTRE(L) or COISTRE(l). gOaDLIK(E) allows nothing at A8. LOrDlIK(E) and lOrDLIK(E) are best; gOaDLIK(E) is third, as when Dennis has CEIORST he can play B4 TERCIOS#; and tOaDLIK(E) is fifth. Their valuations differ by less than a point. #endgamesmall
I have to leave one in the bag here. 14A (T)IP is best because it sets up D12 JAIL to outrun any bing winning everytime according the Championship Player. This is almost as good. #strategymedium
I'm not sure... I think a12 plays come down a lot, in which case I want to keep as much bingo space open. based on a sim, it seems like the top left marginal lanes are realllly marginal, keeping them open barely improves my bingo chances. I think I should do WAND or D(A)N L7 over CANID, if an a12 play is happening I want to go harder on the bingo%, it will be difficult to outrun. WAND could possibly outrun. #strategysmall
Sheesh, you know DOTAL. What a garbage play this was. I also missed 10I TROD, which I think I like best. Interestingly, TROD loses to TROT in that spot in the sim, and they both lose to TRAT. Keeping the DO for B10? DOTAL wins the sim. #findinglarge
Not bad, but 14A MISDID is fine if it means outrunning better, which I can safely do at this score. I would have done MISDID if I had seen that. #findingmedium
Maybe H10 FOIL since the F is actually not doing much on this board. I'm not down a ton, so I don't think I need to be desperate to fork just yet. #strategysmall
3J (F)EAZE looks good here because I can use the D and S hooks + the Z isn't right on top of the double word as it would be with 3J (F)AZE. #knowledgesaddest
looks like I chose wrong here. M1 MODI, 6D ROD, 6D ROM all look worth playing here. I liked opening the top left with this play, but I also set up QAT and X plays, which are really annoying. ROD is probably my favourite of the bunch. #strategysmall
I had no time here and sort of gave up. I probably should've played 5A (AW)K to make it at least a bit harder to block possible bingos at 14F and 15A. #timesaddest
I think GN(U) has to come down here. Again can't reasonably outrun, so have to go all in on defense. TONG is also reasonable, emptying the bag here is good to prevent him fishing (he could hit the B and E column, I will not be able to block both too often). GNU has the issue of allowing better fishing options for him, but it's really hard for him to open a new lane after GNU, so he's stuck having to hit the blockable B column. I looked for blocks but didn't consider GNU. #findinglarge
13I DROWN is simming best, which sort of says something about the position. I think I was trying too hard for the J setup, although he does have unconducive tiles to block the setup with. #tacticssmall