Not sure how M7 MED is better when I dump an additional consonant with MELD. I definitely wasn't doing M7 MEDAL with what that opens up, but I think if I'm going to keep another consonant on my rack, 7M MUD is actually a farily sound play not offering Richard anything new to work with. ABDLT is not as bad of a leave on this board as I would have thought. #visionmedium
Q actually recommends SOH at J8 for 42 points here. I suppose it holds JEAN at J2 next turn. This and JEON are neck and neck, I suppose it's a matter of how volatile I want next turn to be #findingsad
I spent all my time trying to make some Z setup, but it doesn't seem like there's anything that's unblockable, so I played this hoping for opp plays off OSS -> H2 I(D) -> pass -> 1F ZIG. #strategysadder
I'm correct to play off fewer tiles. But this isn't the right way to do it. Quackle really loves the aggressive play of 7H D(I)N for 7, which sets up my E and T nicely and opens up a 2nd potent bingo line when I am close to something and Joel isn't closing the board down anytime soon. I might have given myself a better chance with DIN instead of MAN. #visionsmall
I had the right idea by keeping my D here for OPED. The only issue was not seeing this at 12L (although Mark could make a play at O8 and block my OPED hook if he didn't draw one himself after his exchange). Either way, L8 (C)OU(R)A(N)TE is the standout play. Not easy to play through 3 disconnected tiles like that. #visionlarge
Right idea to use this spot to score and pull ahead. Looking back, I should have seen ALMS in this spot since it's harder to end bingoes with an A than an L. #findingsmall
Sigh, I spelled out GREWING on my rack and stared at it for 30 seconds before deciding against it. I should've been more deliberate to really think it over, but I'm trying really hard to go faster these days and in general I find it's helping me a lot. The pathway I could've taken to realizing GREWING is good is that I think my intuition is that there's something in DEEGRW, but that DEEGRW + S = SWEDGER, so whatever's in DEEGRW has to not be WEDGER, and is thus probably GREWED, thus making GREWING likelier to be good. #knowledgelarge
I didn't consider for long enough the option of exchanging OQ. I also eschewed the defensive aspect of LOX. It would appear exchanging down to ELR is best here #tacticssmall
did not see that 13K was better, since I draw into QA(T) simply 14J when I draw an A, and a bunch of other plays through the T that score 60+ #findingsmall
This is clearly a mistake. I missed the BAGGIER hook, therefore, K1 ROOmIER, ROOtIER, or ROOkIER should have been done. Those are all so good defensively. #visionmedium
keeping the VUG combo on my rack does not seem to be the greatest idea i've ever had. O12 (H)OVE might be better, takes the trip away from my opp, scores fine #strategysad
The options are 15D OBE(S)E, 15G (S)EX, and L5 EXO. Quackle is saying blocking the triple is best, so this is probably a slight mistake. #strategymedium
now that I'm not winning, I should at least be able to limit the damage a bit. between HUT and this, HUT is a lot better, since it keeps a scarce vowel. #strategymedium
#knowledgesmall for WINDWAy. I desperately set up a 3x3 with TAO. The sim winners are C1 ALO(W) and A3 OLEA, with the same idea. ALO(W) nearly maximizes my average score next turn, while TAO maximizes my opponent's score. #strategymedium
I felt like my S was going to be very powerful here with LANTERNS and other scoring plays, so decided against EXPOSE for 8 more, even though the blank is good to draw. Q prefers EX/BINE by a bit, I score as well with EEPPS next turn. #tacticssmall also prefers EXPOSE, that ends up simming best. I suppose reaching for blanks mainly, hmm.
i was annoyed here and only looked for a bingo briefly. i figured it wouldn't be worth to bingo in some situations, but i should have looked a little harder, thornily and nitrosyl are simple enough finds. i had my heart set on bingoing the following turn. -6.5 #focus #findingmedium
Drat. Still not rock solid on finding the 30k-40k probability 8s like UNFIXITY, which plays at A8 for 89. I'd have had a shot of seeing it if the X had been a natural tile as opposed to the blank designation. #findinglarge
Will: Hmm, I almost did BENJ and Quackle ever so slightly prefers it, but not for the reason I would expect (allowing fewer bingos) - it actually allows more bingos than JEW (24% to 19%), but almost equivalent average scores, which I think suggests that JEW is easier to overlap for solid scores on non-bingo turns. Even the leftmost placement of BENJ, which certainly looks like it would be hard to play sevens against, yields more bingos than JEW. BENJ then outperforms JEW on my own next turn by several points thanks to the more flexible leave. #tacticssmall
This is part of where I lost the game. I needed to play 5I WOOD here with more Os and another D to draw. Not sure why I didn't spot that. #visionmedium
I hope I would have found 11D SCRE(W)ERS OTB, but after challenging off the phony I completely stopped looking at horizontal plays through OUTWIT as I thought that all of them would give him DIDDLERS. However, 12C CRESS(I)ER is best with his rack. #findingsadder
Now I'm not in a good spot. I do need to play long here, and while this does block some BEACHY plays, I think I needed to spot F9 R(E)FILM here to make a more volatile board. I didn't spot that and REFILM is quite a bit ahead of FIRTH. #visionsmall
I completely misevaluated where the likely bingos were going. I thought blocking the C column was important, but 15 row is more dangerous. The best simming move is 14C EAR(D) and similar moves on row 14 and 15 also sim well. #strategysaddest
Playing through is better than exchanging, as much as it sucks that I could not pick a vowel. I think I had the right idea if I wanted to take away a key scoring spot and block the L. However, I also think that LAV is better than TAV since I have a more synergystic leave. But the play that sims the best is 2C TR(O)MM(E)L, which I did not know, and I might have even done that if I knew it and saw it. #findingsmall
or ZA. I only hit 11/46 on the O column but another 6/46 on the 6 row, 4 more on column E, and also OVERTASK on row 15. Looks like a small improvement over AT #tacticssmall
cool -- bag has good enough letters (including the blanks) and is consonant-heavy enough that quackle wants me to keep S instead of ST here. oops. -0.5 #focus #tacticssmall
LIBEL 11I is actually simming better; i suppose there's the dangerous hotspot i'm creating, plus it's relatively easy for him to score a bunch at 11K as well with the right letters. -2 #strategysmall #finding
Through four endgame plies, C12 MIRI is the best play that empties the bag, winning 19.58%; EMI(R) wins 15.83%. I lose whenever I draw the Q. #endgamemedium I guess
not sure why I missed TYING A11. Was debating fishing the Y, but saw it only seemed to hit 27/37 or something not so good. I realized that this wasn't right after I played it. Jason insta-challenged IGNORANTS#, which I hadn't even thought about. Just another reason I am the luckiest player ever. TYING is still significantly better than SWINGY+5, which I should have realized. #findinglarge
I couldn't bear to leave the FRIZE hook open, especially since I assumed he must be keeping an E. After the game he told he forgot about the FRIZE hook. J13 AH sims best. #strategysaddest