I might have misevaluated this position. I didn't like creating the M7 lane after L1 FeSTIVE. If I try to block, I might open column N. It is true that the board control is better after my play, but I also didn't think about what Mark might be doing with BIT. #strategysmall
I was already overtime and didn't want to have to deal with the Q. If he plays tiles, he's guaranteed to have the Q which he's stuck with. If he passes then the game ends in a six pass. Both of those scenarios were much more emotionally appealing than playing tiles and potentially drawing the Q, even if playing something is the best play. #timesaddest
Pivotal move. I saw the star equity move of 14F YGOE leaving the nice DENR; but that leave isn't particularly helpful for bingoing on this board. I felt it was much more important to blow through some tiles to get at least one of the four unseen esses for JIBERS. However, what the DENR leave *is* helpful for doing is letting me score with WEIGHTED, WEIGHERS, or WEIGHMEN with any of MSSSST, and in general good leave synergy/balance never hurts. #strategymedium
yeah lol OUTA/AG is just a lot better, I bingo waaaay more. I saw the play, but then just kinda liked this recurring S setup and how it was a bit more defensive. #tacticsmedium this felt like a bit of a focus error
N: 1H COPI(T)A or H10 (G)AUCIE should be okay here. #knowledgesaddest Even if i HAD known these words, i was playing too scared. my opponent just blew up his rack, played 6 tiles. gotta be smort here
I didn't have much time here and decided I just needed to play fast and I missed K3 (G)OETY. I also wasn't sure of 12H (C)OUTHY. #timesaddest #knowledgesaddest
this was absolutely terrifying. I saw that I didn't have DOGMA through the D in DEFINITE. I saw that I had GLIOMATA with an I or an L. I saw the -MATA suffix more than once. Yet, I miss dOGMATA. #findinglarge
If Andrew doesn't block along the F or E file, C7 GAM is best by far. BEGO is still there at 7B but I have to end in an E. But I think he blocks too often and I just lose. Here, I thought he can't block both bingo spots on column F and row 2. Seemed like my best shot. However, he can just play with GAME on the 6th row to block everything. So I'm kind of boned regardless. So maybe it's back to C7 GAM, since that might outrun some blocks? Maybe I just have to make a desperado play opening up row 15 such as (S)AG and go for CAMEOED or CAROMED. That also threatens DORMICE, but Andrew can probably block both lines and still win. Toughens things tho. #tacticslarge
This is really weak. I need to get rid of more vowels. I was thinking this would force his bings to open up so I could bingo through the floaters. I can't see anything I really like, so suggestions are welcome. #strategymedium
i think ORB doesn't necessarily imply an incredibly strong leave, but let's give him IRS; quackle still prefers 4D RATHE. i don't know what i was thinking. there are two open lanes, and i have a bigger comeback if i let him bingo on lane 14 a lot of the time. i can't block them both, so force him to bingo there. -11.5 #strategylarge it's a new day and i'm back to my bad play.
O12 U(P) and 4K U(T) win the sim, giving me a 6% chance of winning while everything else is less than 5%. I think the sim assumes Rasheed will sometimes play on row 2 making H(EW), after which I can play a bingo making W(HEW) and scoring 109 or more if I draw any of ?AFHLR. Never in my WILDEST dreams would Rasheed do that. F13 (G)U# is another option, setting up a lane on row 15 that Rasheed will surely block. WUD has the best equity. #tacticsmedium I guess
Huge tank on this turn as I tried to figure out which way to go. At various points I was close to playing M10 or N10 JESSIE and H7 JASS. Sim wants M10 JESSIE, drawing more tiles for blanks and leaving the VARIAS hook open without exposing the triple lane the way N10 JESSIE does; makes sense to me. #strategysmall
For only 7 more points, C12 EAUX just felt too reckless. I do keep better, but there's still too many things Paul could hit. A simulation actually does prefer C12 EAU setting up my X since I could hit 15A COX on my next turn. In addition, Paul actually averages the same after XU vs EAU. I should have given more thought to doing EAU despite the X not being very good immediately. #strategysmall
when he played CLOTH I realized that I was at a huge disadvantage, since he knew all the extensions and I didn't. Thinking about extensions did not help me find OIL(CLOTH). #findinglarge #knowledgelarge
rough, he missed STERNER and I'm still in dire straits. I tried to take that as a good thing. ILK(A) I think was missed, that is similar, probably better #findingsmall
I passed on B2 YIELD because I didn't want to hang floaters on rows 2 and 3 or leave the R open, but looking at it now, it seems best. It sims with 20 more win percentage points over B6 DRILY. Probably because the I and Y aren't great floaters, and I sometimes get outrun by A8 plays. Big mistake. #strategylarge
D10 PRANG sacrifices 6 points but sets up the S on row 15. H11 USURP wins the sim, surprisingly; apparently it allows fewer bingos than either PRANG. But I prefer D10 PRANG. #tacticsmedium
AGINT better than EGINT, that's news to me. I'm heading nowhere in this position without an S, though if he bingos first (which I would prefer to prevent) it will often give me a commeback. FEH sims 4 points higher, gotta trust that #tacticssmall
Pretty sure G3 XU wins 7/8 (loses with Q draw) and this wins 6/8 (loses with G and Q draw). I wanted to block G3 QI and 1H (F)REEZInG. I was very scared of losing with 1H (F)REEZInG + Q stick for a bajillion points. I probably have to just give up if the Q is in the bag. #strategysadder
The two best plays are DEEPLY and O1 YELPED. Both empty the bag and allow the same bingos, except at 3G, where DEEPLY allows SC(O)RELIN(E) and ST(O)NEWAR(E), while YELPED allows only ST(O)NEWAL(L). Thus YELPED wins with more draws. #endgamesmall
i wanted to keep the ED for the tricky lane on row 2, and still open something. at this point my win % is so low that i don't bother too much with worrying about what my best play could be. maybe DIT just takes way too many hooks or something. quackle likes J12 TID(E) which doesn't create a new lane. however, it blocks a scoring spot for her. if i have to get lucky i might as well play the extra tile to draw for an N for ING or some crap.. who knows? scrabble is too hard. -4 #strategymedium
just totally missed the beautiful wellsite. the funny thing is i remember thinking of it at some point. maybe later in the game. luckily my play is not much worse. (well it might be if he has a bingo). -3.5 #knowledgemedium
The options are 15D OBE(S)E, 15G (S)EX, and L5 EXO. Quackle is saying blocking the triple is best, so this is probably a slight mistake. #strategymedium
Right idea to ditch the V and hang onto the Z. For some reason I only spotted the INFANTE hook later on but not the INFANTA hook at all. 11H OVAL is just too good here to fork 2 S setups in 1 play. #visionlarge
Fishing the R hits sevens 22 out of 23 times, only missing when I draw the R. F13 R(EM) is probably slightly better because it guarantees a spot for TARSEAL if I draw the A. #strategysmall
6C DI #VISIONSADDEST Spoiler alert: thus begins a series of the most ridiculous fishes, serving absolutely no-one. Do not be like me, folks. I just clocked out at this point in the game and never actually hit my bingo.
Quackle prefers K9 HATH, which I considered. HEATH has the better equity, but the board is good for bingos in the short term, with row 12 and column B, and HATH preserves both lanes and keeps a better bingo leave. #tacticssmall
Now I'm more inclined to open up since I'm down and he played off 3 tiles instead of one, though I should have looked at the pool here. 8L (C)OPE is clearly better. #strategysad
i did see NONTIDAL but i wasn't totally sure about it. i figured i would take the bingo i'm sure of. I think i would have tried nontidal if dentinal didn't exist. no excuse for not learning my high prob bingos better, though. better hit the books again... -4 #knowledgemedium
In a do-over, I might do N7 UN(AXED). While UNTAXED does accomplish my objective of opening up another 2 bingo lines while behind, UNAXED is worth the 3 point sacrifice since it bingoes 20% more often. I like that a little better. UNTAXED drew a hold but was correctly accepted. #strategysmall
don't remember why I didn't just do TWIG here, obv don't bingo as much but outrun a lot better. I did FILE over WILE also to not make an extra S hook, hopefully can block POOVES and FLECKS together at some point #strategysmall
I seriously considered playing 1A WAZ(O)OING* before deciding that it was more likely that the blank was in the bag and I could draw it to win than WAZOOING* being a word. This isn't actually the best play. C1 ZO(A) saves 1A WA(ZO)O and wins about 50% of the time as opposed to this which wins about 30% of the time. #endgamelarge
I want to begin by saying that I was absolutely disassociated during this game. What was going through my head? Nothing. I had two thoughts, they ricocheted off of each other, and then it was time to eat sushi. It's the sushi's fault. I just wanted sushi.
Just play I7 JET, Nits. #visionSADDEST
I honestly thought he had taken away a ticket back into the game, but unfortunately I did not see my bing to the O, once again. Damn. If I had only thought about this rack as more than a "play ENTICES/IGLOOS if he doesn't block and play it with KIS if he does block" #findinglarge #knowledgelarge