jesus i still didn't know if TAENITE was TWL, and i remember checking it after the game. 1A TENIAE sims best, despite opening up a potentially dangerous 8 lane. i think it wants me to kill row A's huge scores. bANJO or something. -5.5 #strategymedium
This was astounding bad. The idea is wrong and the execution is wrong. I just need to score with O8 FEH, but if I'm doing a block like this I need to do 9L (E)F to prevent ISH bingos. I completely panicked about the AND/DEL opening and played terribly. #strategysaddest
i know this takes away my OES lane but i figured i needed to keep scoring. 12D GILL seems to score and also go for column N bingos. weirdly enough, i blocked my oppo's ISOBARE with this play. #strategysad
N11 TIKE dominates the sim, winning 73%, and I have no idea why--it scores 26, but it keeps EUU and makes a higher-scoring (though less useful) bingo line on column O, which should in theory prevent me from outscoring if Mitch has a bingo (54%). 7K ETUI, Championship Player's pick and second place on the sim (63% win), allows the fewest bingos (40%) and keeps a leave that can outscore most plays that aren't bingos. Thus I think ETUI is best. KUE does not block column N at all and is thus significantly worse. #tacticslarge
Quackle likes keeping the Q here, EQU ahead of E and EIQU doing best - I score 6 more on avg. than keeping E, which is pretty cool. I remember thinking that the Q was probably not so great on the first turn, but that seems incorrect. #tacticssmall EIQU is the most variant leave of the bunch, though
Even after an exchange 6, I think 10E LIE would have been a little better because even though I set up EWER and the EDIT hooks, L10E LIE sets up both my D and my R and Brandon averages about 3 less next turn. #strategysmall
I had about 30 seconds and talked my self out of SMIR. NO TIME. NO KNOWLEDGE OF THE FOURS. NO IDEA HOW TO PLAY SCRIMBOOL. #TIMESADDEST #KNOWLEDGESADDEST
I wasn't sure what to do here, but I should have seen 13G BAA. 9A AE is best, with BAA a close second. #findingmedium and #scoringlarge for the miscount
Rd 2 of Philly virtual 1-24-2021. SEXLIKE* is not a word fyi. I know some of you all wish it was.
Q does understandably like 8G KEX a little better, but KEX will get paralleled too often by someone like Jay. This allows the board to stay open for reasonably longer, but EXILES is probably even better than this. #visionlarge
he played CRAB too quickly. he has a bingo there a lot of the time, but he probably has it even if i block CRAB. AG bingoes more often, but i wanted to open an additional lane.. so i don't know. if we give him a leave of ATS? for giggles, my move rises up a little higher, but G13 OD is at the top, i guess opening another triple for me to use or something. not a good position for me, but this is all a result of VIM. i'm going to be down my next move unless i bingo back. -0.5 #strategysmall
losing the wheels on the bus here. Missing G10 H(OW)F, but holding on to what I hope will be a closed board soon. Also missing 13I DASHI which is fine. #visionmedium #findingmedium
now I need to play with INDUSIAL and forgo the cheap bingo. I knew that even if INDUSIAL was no good he was likely to let it go. It was the small percentage of the time it wasn't good and he challenged it off that would have potentially thrown me off even more. Fear management. #knowledgesaddest
As frustrating as this game was, I didn't see BIZE at 13F unfortunately. If I had to do it over again, I play 13F G(I)BE threatening to go out with N10 InIA and C10 lI(T)AI, forcing him to play 11I BIZ(E)S. #endgamebad
I think I should have left the N off to significantly improve the leave. It's amazing how 1 fewer point means a much more manageable leave. #strategymedium
once again being safe, though I missed SPElEAN in the same spot which I would be sure of as opposed to SPEANEd, which I was not, given I always confused SNEAPED SPEANED with SNEAKED SKEANED*. #knowledgemedium #findingmedium
I suppose he could have S(E)RAGLIO, the only playable 7 on row 14, and nothing else. I should therefore play deP(L)ANES A2 or fish with E(ME).
TALLY isn't really a dramatic enough fork to do over just I6 LAZY; a play to the triple after TALLY leaves a horrendous board for scoring if I don't hit a bingo, and hitting one isn't very likely. That being said, LAZY can get me fenced in pretty much immediately as well. Tough spot. I think LAZY is better. #strategysmall
Now I know there's a chance my opponent can take the triple lane, but I couldn't figure out how to block it. Definitely needed to score a lot more than I did, though. F10 CEBID is nice here. #knowledgesaddest
Quackle strongly favors exchanging keeping only the S; the best play on the board has over 6% less win chance. I can't explain that, but YIRR has the shortcoming of providing two extra lanes for Betty to play a bingo--columns J and K.#tacticslarge apparently
Will: Close, but there are more than enough bingoes that still go down along column L that I absolutely need to play BENJES here instead; I probably also do a bit better in endgames by going out in one. #strategylarge
i held for another 3-4 minutes, and decided that it's very likely good and i had to let it go. i'm glad i didn't make a steam challenge. about my play - i wasn't super enthused about blocking some lanes but i just don't know how to catch up without scoring points. i decided i was going to need to get lucky so i thought scoring 32 pts and bingoing asap next turn was better than fishing. H7 SIR sims best though by win %, it makes sense. #tacticssmall
considered CODE and ZAX as well, but I liked keeping more bingo chances and opening a new lane. D(E)X bingoes more than CODEX by a couple percent! I do like opening a lane with CODEX though so he can't kill everything with agene. #tacticssmall
No idea what to do here. 3J S(A)NED and 14D N(I)D can't work because Danny's gonna block column D, D8 NIE is pretty blockable with an 11A or 7B play (if he has an O). Maybe H1 SIN(C)E? There's 9 vowels unseen. Gonna call this a #strategysadder because column D is always getting blocked
Play was misscored as 22
Very sad. I thought I had WAFTURE but realized I didn't. I was only 95% sur of WAFTER. I was probably on tilt and played this too fast. #KNOWLEDGESADDEST
This should've been DEGUST, which I considered; there are no spots for sevens with my DST leave apart from DOJOS or EMS. Quackle says I bingo 21% after TEGU and 18% after DEGUST, which is easily close enough for me to take 9 extra points here. #strategysmall
Another awful blunder. 2B COL(B)Y is best, but if I'm going to play at B2 then I should do B2 CL(U)EY or B2 FL(U)EY to prevent massive QU plays. I was trying to play fast after burning all my time on the VEE turn. #timesaddest
I chose REAL over ORAL because there were 7 E's unseen and no O's. But I did not consider what the benefit of keeping the O would be, and now that I am considering it I don't see any significant benefit; EE > EO, and even triplicate E's are fine. I should just play ORAL. Quackle prefers C12 NOR but that's ridiculous with IIIM unseen. #strategymedium
just with BRANG*, I was about ready to snap challenge, and the longer I took, the less I felt I should challenge. This is a huge mistake, but I still figured my best chances were holding on from this position. But I missed AR(M)Y for 39, which is too many to say no to. There is very limited risk of 7 consonants next turn being pivotal enough to lose the game, and also very minimal chance of not drawing a vowel, given the 15/10 vowel/consonant ratio. Something like 10-15%? I just missed AR(M)Y, but worse, I made this play with absolutely no clue about RALLYE, a word I know. I never saw RALLYE. This was Jackson's game to come back and win. Incredibly good pressure by him, picking at my confidence levels more and more every turn. #knowledgesaddest #visionsaddest #strategysaddest #findingsaddest
yeah so I started to get quite low on time here. The pool is extremely strong, and I thought my best chance was to bingo back. I didn't even know if that would score enough though. I don't think it does, like, at all. So this was just not a good move, since when Michael doesn't outrun with his bingo, he just blocks. I need to bite the bullet and play 15F INKED. I thought it might be giving him bingos he doesn't have, but a cursory glance shows that no, INKED doesn't give him anything new. Gotta try that. It would have won. He actually only bingos around 50% of the time. #strategySADDEST
thought my biggest threat was a ZAX play on column M and drawing the Q without the vowels on hand. i was super low on time so i did nooot realize that there was a bajillion (11) bingos making AG. C9 RUT seems fine here #strategysaddest #strategysaddest
I missed a key opportunity to open up a bingo line- I like 9I GOAL better now that I see it since it sets up my T at 12I. This does not even set up anything. Granted Dustin can play from the T in MASTERED and block that. But it would have given me another threat and kept him on his toes. #visionmedium
im pretty sure my brain was offline here. i saw E5 TWI(R)P but idk why i didnt go through with it. F5 UPW(A)FT is best #knowledgesaddest #strategysaddest