was very tired at this point, 5B IC(E) is the play. I was trying to figure out a way to block JA(D)E and score a lot while going out in two, didn't think of a setup. -11 #endgamelarge. Also missed C5 AIL somehow even though I considered that I could keep CROFT and COFT. Stupid
He ALMOST played L9 RAIS(I)NG, which would have given me M5 PINKEST
D3 P(O)KE here? Keep trying for a bingo? #strategylarge Also, I miscounted 5F (JO)KIEST as 34 oop
4G B(E)NZOL was the play I was looking for here. Right idea to dump the Z because it's a sucky tile on this board, but the B also needed to be dumped. #findingsmall
I didn't want to open anything unnecessarily here but GUAVA or VAGUER might be worth doing just for the more balanced leaves and more tiles drawn towards one of the blanks. The pool is also pretty vowel-heavy so leaving ADEU after VAG could go south fast. #strategysmall
it reeeally doesnt like me bingoing here, and i did waste a lot of time considering whether i should bingo or not. 13H INN(ATE) is cool #strategysaddest
I7 T(E)XAS wins the sim, scoring 4 more and bingoing about 1/7 more often next turn. I don't need to block lanes, as I do with SEXT; many plays win 100%. #strategylarge
fishing is less often right in collins. i probably missed ZE and THIEF, although i did think of ZE in other turns. HOMY is probably ok too. -6 #findingmedium
I considered I6 VI(E)WY as well as my placement as well as exchanging. I wanted the right side of the board to be openable later on, so I eschewed the I6 placement while behind. F6 OW(L)Y sims better than I would have thought given I am keeping an ugly leave that I felt was more likely to lead to an exchange than playing VIEWY. Based on this, OWLY is probably better. #strategysmall
maybe thine to somewhat obscure bingoes to the bottom triple. Hent over hint because of all the ee's unseen? Hent sims best despite the s front hook #strategysmall
still need to improve at defense. D4 QI gives up way fewer points even though it scores 2 less. i can also draw stuff like hoplites or bingos to the S. i think i was trying to block the S lane partially, but that's not worth sacrificing easy triple pts. -6 #strategymedium
i saw LETHIED, was 98% sure of it and then convinced myself it didnt fit. tried to convince myself later that i didnt wanna open myself up to a trip-trip but magpie has dashed all of my hopes and dreams ##sadgirlhours #visionsaddest
missed VOE lol, 23 and also nice for the X hooks. I don't assume he has an S, I think it's reasonable he made this play without one. OXO is cute but EEISV is kinda shitty. #findingmedium
F2 ENDEAVO(R) #findingsaddest #knowledgesaddest (i love that i stumbled into GROUPIST, which is 13k probability and couldnt find ENDEAVOR, which is 1k probability. i am truly composed of paradoxes)
This actually isn't paranoid nor confident enough and there are some really unlucky things that can happen here. The play here is HEM 14m, as there's no 3x3s, you have a pretty much guaranteed score, if Jackson blocks it's game over, and if he plays/bingos elsewhere you can get 50. Yes, losing here requires some horrible draws, but this just doesn't prepare well enough. #strategymedium
this was frustrating. I missed GERB(I)L which seems like the play I would make. Quackle prefers fishing again with (E)RG or B(E)RG. Either way, this seems like a mistake #findingsmall
quackle prefers taking the pts with B4 NAV (and also killing that part of the board). RTU? should bingo pretty often, and it's good to score more points here. -5.5 #visionmedium #tacticsmedium
this is just not a word. It doesn't make sense as a word, but I wrote out the alphagram and it looked decent. I also trust Seth, perhaps to a fault. #knowledgeSADDEST
I didn't have to phony here. I saw TOKENING but it looked awful, and missed everything else. KENoT(R)ON is a word I was not familiar with, and it plays for 94! I also had NEKTON(I)c. #knowledgelarge
Thought this was a good phony though. I chose the more volatile spot because it was less likely to get challenged if it meant leaving big spots open.
for this tournament i'm trying to take my time quackling. often i can find plays i missed in the actual tournament if i look a little harder. i need to figure out how to stop missing these. FEE 9B seems pretty standard. my play is bad. but even 9C FE is better than what i played, or VEGETE, all of which i saw now. i couldn't see anything else while playing. :/ -5 #findingmedium
A rather bizarre play, sacrificing a lot of equity over JEER or either JIMP. I just couldn't stomach the CDIIM leave after JEER, and also didn't like that JEER invited underlaps that block the GURUS hook. EJIDO does a much better job keeping the left hand side open in the long term and floats an E that's not too easy to block without giving back a new lane. DIME(R)I(C) is another option I missed, but I prefer getting rid of the J ASAP since bingoing quickly is of paramount importance. I'm still fine with EJIDO, but Josh preferred JEER and Quackle agrees with him by a decent margin, so I'll call this a #strategysmall.
I think I saw 4L VOE but didn't fully appreciate it. Not only does it partially block column O, it saves A8 DRUNK for next turn. And it has better equity! ENV is worse than I expected. #tacticsmedium
NOH might be better because it saves QA(T) 8D which is currently my best Q spot, and unlikely to improve much. I could also play QA(T) now #tacticssmall
didn't know DOMATIA#, though this rack did scream of bingo. I missed DAIM(Y)O and OID(I)A which both significantly improve on this. I looked for something like DAIMYO, such a tough thing to spot. OIDIA should not be tough to spot, but I was intent on leaving the S hook open and totally distracted by what had just happened. Really bad. #findingSADDEST #knowledgeSADDEST
I should do I6 UNROOF. I figured he always has a Z bomb with the second A of ACETA, but maybe sometimes whiffs the top one, but it draws into stuff enough on a four tile pull that I should be blocking both. Unfortunately, I looked through the R for only a little while for plays like that, figuring I had nothing worth playing, and didn't think of it as an option. #findingmedium
8D KORAI edges this out, but I liked this because it gives back hard floaters. In retrospect, the score difference of KORAI is too important, and OK's back hooks are debilitating. #tacticssad
I overthought this one. I saw that if I played H10 (A)SHLAR and he binged for 80ish from the R with AI?, I would probably be Q stuck. But even then I'm up too much for it to matter and I can always outrun. #strategylarge
This play somehow wins a sim, though again a pure equity sim won't give great results for this situation. I really thought this was an error after I played it. I'm not sure what I'm supposed to do here. I thought later that 4K OUMA might be okay, but seems reckless now. I dunno. #strategysad
G5 G(U)ANO ugh #endgamelarge
and he shorted me 4 points from his rack even though I knew it. I was rattled after this game. Matt was very much a destabilizing force.
10B WIENERS is far superior, but even if I don't see that something like C2 WRIEST is absolutely fine...way too big an equity hit with WURST just to get another S hook on the board. #strategymedium #findingmedium
i spent absurdly long on this move. it was frustrating. i should probably just keep it closed and do EM at N1, and pounce on any openings (or still draw a bingo - EM bingoes 46% next turn, maybe a little less because he'll keep it closed, but still). -7 #strategymedium
This is the best equity play, but I was sad about partially blocking RHUMBA. In fact I should have sacrificed two points to preserve RHUMBA with 9E EME. #tacticsmedium
now this is a mistake. playing ZOO would just work out better. i didn't want to keep two Ns but i have a good chance of using one the next turn if not bingoing outright. ugh! -2 #strategysmall
14D EEJIT wins like 85% of the time whereas my play wins only 66% of the time. i feel like i would have played EEJIT if i'd actually seen it lmao #findingsaddest
Incredibly, I actually have a solid winning chance here. It does appear that GRAPH and GRAPHS both do slightly better than AARGH, which makes sense; GRAPH bingos a solid amount more often. #strategysmall
I didn't see any wins here and went for tricks. My opponent has about 2 minutes left and I thought if I created some distraction she might miss A1 METALIZ(E) or A1 MELANIZ(E) or have mistracked and block the N column. That hits 2/8 and I need my opponent to make a mistake, but J10 ZO wins 1/8 when I draw the G, threatening A2 MILEAG(E) and L6 MILEAGE, so that seems like a better way to go. #endgamesaddest
There's 5 possible bingos through 14H OM and I just wanna quit. 10H sTONERS is notable #findingsaddest #Knowledgesaddest We out here turning up dumbassery to 100%
I didn't like LIBRI because the CN didn't seem to go well with the C in HAPTIC, but I guess I'm also not completely stuck having to use that C. I didn't like CIB(O)L because it's easy enough to dump an S for 30+ and outrun me. Still, that might be the way. C12 CRIB is also interesting, going all in on using the C next turn. This just doesn't hit enough. #strategysmall
3J (F)EAZE looks good here because I can use the D and S hooks + the Z isn't right on top of the double word as it would be with 3J (F)AZE. #knowledgesaddest
I knew all 4 in AEKOSTTU, but in a panic I hallucinated that a bingo through the K fit, and spent a few minutes trying to block that and A8 OUTEATe(N). With about 1 minute left I realized I only needed to block the O column, but this actually loses. Only A13 GA(N) and GI(N) win, both by 2. My play loses by 1. #endgamesaddest