I genuinely was considering D10 Q(A)T, which sims better here, but eventually went with C9 WO(R)DS instead in hopes of giving myself a chance to end a bingo with an E on the B column. Plus, if I drew an I, I had the 12A QA(D)I setup next turn #strategysmall
CoCo Seattle Scrabble tournament round 14. I considered 8H UNKED# and rejected it because it has hooks and NUKED doesn't. Quackle prefers UNKED; I suppose putting the U next to the DLS's affects David's average score more than UNKED's hooks. #strategysmall
I overestimated how big this spot I was setting up was, his average goes waaaay up. making this lane probahbly helps me a bit, I end up bingoing as much after PUB as u fishes like PIU, but yeah PUB just gives him a much bigger spot on a subpar scoring board. PIU or PRAUS seem okay here. I would probably do PIU. #tacticsmedium
I strongly considered (C)AF here, but idk. I do get bailouts wiht AAAAIIIIIIUUU which is nice, but they don't always stay open. I like what QI/QI does for me next turn w S? in hand, but idk it feels too limiting to keep the Q. Q prefers CAF here, #tacticssmall it seems it blocks some scores crom the C (QAT lets him average a couple more), and just looks about worth it given the Q bailouts.
This is part of where I lost the game. I needed to play 5I WOOD here with more Os and another D to draw. Not sure why I didn't spot that. #visionmedium
Because I'm the only one with 5 wins, by taking this game I will guarantee myself the tournament win. ANOR is a decent leave for the board because I have the ABA hook and the APE/OPE hooks. MAP doesn't sim too far back of more aggresive options like J8 (T)AP setting up my A and 7F/9F PA setting up my O. For the same reason I would not be a fan of TAP because that takes too many unseen hooks, I can say the same thing about either placement of PA. Maybe J6 PO(T)MAN is probably the play to keep a slightly better leave and not give back hooks to Mark. #findingsmall
Saw the best play a bit too late. Sadly. Can you find it? It scores 27 points.
This pre is otherwise complicated. DETOXING can happen and win whenever. I don't want to play more than 3 tiles because 4-tile plays by him make me have to play 3 (or hopefully 2) to not empty. I chose this because I can then play HE at 6F or M3 next turn if he plays 4 and maybe hold on. #findinglarge
im pretty sure my brain was offline here. i saw E5 TWI(R)P but idk why i didnt go through with it. F5 UPW(A)FT is best #knowledgesaddest #strategysaddest
10B WIENERS is far superior, but even if I don't see that something like C2 WRIEST is absolutely fine...way too big an equity hit with WURST just to get another S hook on the board. #strategymedium #findingmedium
Perhaps I should go for broke for a bingo here with DEXIE or ICE, but INANE seems ok too. Quackle is pretty emphatic that DEXIE is better; I did see it but felt it made the H15 triple so easy to crush. The extra bingo% makes up for it. #strategysmall
missed Q(A)NAT in the same spot, which is technically better, but I thought it was unlikely he would be able to overlap on row 11 all the way #findingsmall
I was trying to block bingos on the A column making SCAB with a blank S, but the sim is noooot interested in that at all. I guess bingos on row 14 are a lot more likely and my plays score more there anyway? I kinda don't mind 6B HUM(O)R because it scores well and kinda obstructs the A column but 14H HUM sims best. This one might just have to go down in the books as a #strategysaddest
No home for THORITE after that got blocked. Seems like an oversight here- I didn't see K9 THO(U) which only scores 3 less but keeps a stronger leave. Not sure I really need to go for an S that badly despite there being 4 left. #visionsmall #strategymedium
so this was a huge mistake on many levels! Firstly I somehow got it in my mind he had DEHIMOS on his rack. LOVAGES/MICROS would give him DEMOLISH, whereas he would get HOMIE after G8 LOVAGES. That's why I played it here, but not only was I wrong and he has ADEHMOS, I average so much after DEMOLISH that it's actually worth it to play 9B lovages even if he has dehimos! that being said the post-HOMIE board is better for me so I think it's closer than the sim says, but the sim still prefers 9B by like 11 points. #strategylarge for being dumb
this was a pretty bad move. i was going to play P(O)W, and i talked myself into this somehow. i think a large part of it is that i wasn't sure if POWS was good. but clearly, POW is much better than TWA. i could at least play it at 10E. i think once in a while, i just have one move where i completely don't have a focused brain, but hopefully this will improve! -7.5 #strategymedium
i shit you not the sim has me winning 100% of the time after 12K (T)RANQ. Maybe i outrun any bingos that are coming for me. never even saw this spot though, so #findingsaddest, i guess?
Quackle hates this exchange and wants me to conserve spread by playing G3 WOWS, blocking the bingo lanes on rows 2-4 while saving 4I LUAU for next turn. #tacticsmedium
i gotta do 3F ARRIS and then O12 IN(T). didn't see that i set up the Q until after i hit the clock because i had less than a minute left #timesaddest #endgamesaddest i hope my anki backlog is proud of me
Waffled over VAWS, O1 EA, and NAVE for quite a while. I was going for the final blow bingo, and indeed I do get a massive amount more bingos down after NAVE; but VAWS still seems like the right play here, going up by 70 and keeping the board very tight. #tacticssmall
Quackle likes 11I OMEN a lot, blocking columns J-L and, to some extent, M. I wanted to keep my N for E4 INFLUXES, and ATOM is the best equity play, but blocking the board is of greater importance. #tacticssmall
I might prefer playing this for 9 more at I5? Can't imagine this is worth sacrificing so much.
Upon reviewal I like I4 TRIP, since it blocks a lot of annoying scoring plays at H1, despite allowing me to bingo next turn significantly less. #strategysmall
i saw the only bingo here, 10E NETWOrKS. the main reason i didn't want to play it is that i might be down if he bingoes to DIGHTS afterwards, with an uglyish board. i thought i could take points, keep the blank, and draw some more of the good stuff in the bag? tough choice, but WOKEST does sim just above NETWORKS by win %! 12L WOKS though is the top play, which takes out that lane as well but keeps a better leave for bingoing next turn. oops. -6 #strategymedium
this is actually a pretty counterproductive play. I need to admit I am at a disadvantage and play FIB 7K. This gives back too many bingos and scoring plays. I am setting up points on row 8, but also on row 4 with TEFF. Cool play that I should have seen. I saw BE(D)IM, which is also a lot better. #findingmedium #strategymedium
Once I made this play I realized it was not good. There's one place left to score easily on this board and it's E5. If I draw poorly after this, I won't necessarily be able to withstand a bingo and a scoring play from Noah. E5 BO is far and away best #strategylarge
Quackle says N5 IN is the only winning play, but when I play out the games it loses to A1 FUNKiA, A1 FANKlE, and even A1 UNRAKE, so I'm not sure what's best here. #strategysaddest
L9 P(H)YLAR blocks L1 JAd(E)ITES, 14H TAJInES, and L8 JE(H)ADIST, but M9 P(E)ARLY only blocks the last two #endgamesad
Players agreed to a final score of 460-323
D10 PRANG sacrifices 6 points but sets up the S on row 15. H11 USURP wins the sim, surprisingly; apparently it allows fewer bingos than either PRANG. But I prefer D10 PRANG. #tacticsmedium
The sim winner is 5E VIG(A), minimizing Tim's bingo chance by blocking both (AB)S and S(COPE). Second is D2 V(e)G, maximizing my bingo chance. #strategylarge
quackle likes C11 AWE. i have the last two Ss and the QUODS lane is open for next turn. also the pool looks like AEEIIOORRTTUU lol. DISS bingoes with a lot of that pool. i should at least have considered that. -14 #strategylarge #focus
never thought of AHA, which bingos just about as much as AWA next turn, but is far more scoring-restrictive for Karl, as there are no vowels that can re-overlap HE. AWARD does a bit better than AWA as well, and I had definitely considered it. #findingsmall
this is a bad play for many reasons. Reason number 1 is that I didn't think this took an S. Reason number 2 is that TIT(B)IT is a word. I once again thought this was a great play since it set up my X a lot and blocked EMPLOYERS. #knowledgelarge
this isn't going well, but I can't play scared scoring defense. A5 IOLITE is much better balance and gives back way fewer game-losing bingos. #strategysmall
I'm so damn lazy. i saw sherbet, and freshet, then i thought hey freshet looks cooler, so i laid it down, then halfway to hitting the clock i realized sherbet is better positionally, but i couldn't be arsed to change it!! wtf? come on cesar! -2 #tacticssmall
K5 B(OR)D is best. I need to block the 5K OCa -> 4I LOBS sequence and just playing K4 D(OOR)/B(OOR) just gives back 4H BOL(D)S/4H BLO(B)S. #endgamesaddest
I think the better equity play of J2 KA is now a bit too dangerous. Yes, I am changing course rather quickly. But of course since OKA is also good, that's why its valuation is quite a bit higher than my play. #strategysmall?
I calculated that ZHOMO would win by 1 here, and it does; but there could have been a scoring error, and there's far a better option here of 14F HERTZ for 62, following up with 10J MOO. #endgamelarge