I get DETAILS and DENTILS making FIXT if I draw the blank + A or N; AUDILES, DUALISE, DUPLIES, SULLIED, SULFIDE, and DUELIST if I draw the blank + U to make UREDO; and SCAILED if i draw the blank + A making CREDO. #strategysaddest
I got the endgame wrong too. I had my tracking as if he had CJ, so I thought I was J-sticking him. If I had tracked AJ, I would have realized I can't stop him from going out, so the best play I would have generated would have been A4 (C)ICALA forcing him to play out with B11 JA(G). #endgamelarge
almost fished the O for ATELIER/LAETRI(L)E unblockable or ELATERS/STEALER.
Fishing the O is .5 better for average spread than my play of SOLATE. The I, along with the A, is most likely to be in the bag given his last play of S(E)A. So fishing the O is best #tacticsmedium
i like this move, but quackle thinks just dropping the H is fine. apparently i bingo close to 89% of the time when i do that! definitely sounds a bit high, since i don't hit bingos with the B or R, and he's going to block some percentage of the time. so i'm not sure. anyway, i didn't see that many possible bingos, and wanted to keep the F for scoring at O4. #strategysmall ?
This was astounding bad. The idea is wrong and the execution is wrong. I just need to score with O8 FEH, but if I'm doing a block like this I need to do 9L (E)F to prevent ISH bingos. I completely panicked about the AND/DEL opening and played terribly. #strategysaddest
13C (JA)P presumes i bingo through the A for THRIDACE/TRACHEID or through the R for TRICHORD. Pretty sure the A is getting blocked next turn. Sad I didn't know TRICHORD. M1 HIPT at least tries to gimme another letter to play through, i guess. i feel like this is a solid #strategysadder
this was a pretty crazy draw. Quackle doesn't care and tells me to play NIX for 53 and open that huge spot. I felt I could hold this closed position, but maybe the leave is just too unwieldy. I score 10 points more on average after NIX, which is relevant here. #strategymedium
This has the best equity, but Quackle overwhelmingly prefers exchanging, keeping only the R--though I am ahead, I am less than 50% to win, so I should preserve the lanes on rows 14 and 15. #tacticsmedium
I was panicky and low on time. I wanted to block at least one of A8 of 15H bingo spots, but basically ran out of time after not finding anything and played this to maybe setup my X. 11E VEX(T) is the clear winner. #STRATEGYSADDEST
I think I saw 4A HOVER but otherwise rushed this play. D2 OVUM is best; it sets up plays in row 1 making NOVUM# but has the second-best equity behind D1 HOVE, which gives even more back? 4B MEVROU# and HOVE are also good plays. #strategysmall
Not bad in terms of opening up, but 9F HAY is a little safer. I will get X parallels more often next turn and Joel would have to open up for cheaper on his next move. #visionsmall
Quackle seems to be in love with G2 (N)U for just 3 points. I don't know how that fish will help me when I'm down 53 points. I have to anticipate that Noah will just play on top of DUSTED and then the board will get worse. I had the right idea to get the U off my rack as it has no real value on this board. Maybe 9F HADE if I were to score? During the game, I realized I should have played RUED in this spot setting up my H with EDH. But once again, I can see Noah closing the board down with a Row 7 move which forces me to have to open for cheap. It's just one of those positions where I didn't really know what to do. Probably just playing 9F HADE and hoping for the best is the call if I'm afraid of the board being shut too quickly. #strategymedium?
#knowledgesad for challenge
M1 Z(E)X #endgamesaddest #timesaddest I need to pay better attention to what my opponent has. Hopefully, by some miracle, they don't see 14B ANDR(O) and C6 DRAN(T) and I get another turn to go out with 7A JEDIS.
I am terrible. I thought it was only KNAIDELS and that I had phonied with SANDLIKE before, but it was DIRTLIKE* against Vera in 2013 where I had TIDELIKE available and chose wrong. Stupid stupid, this is the perfect time to phony anyway. Dahhhhh also KADI and KINDA..... #knowledgesaddest #findingsaddest
I would have scored no matter what since I still had 1M HAW if Maddy took the left TWS that I opened. I did not know 1D MAHWA in this position. It's another spelling of MAHUA. I would have kept a better leave after MAHWA, but this board is actually decent for Ws since I have the 3M scoring spot to work with as well as the C9 spot, for which I can make parallels next to HOLIER. That said, MAHWA is better equity and most likely would have been my play if I knew it and saw it since if I draw vowels, Ws generally do a poor job of absorbing those types of draws. #knowledgesmall
thought a lot about LI(E) 10B to set up PLIE, but if he plays QI/LI there I might be in trouble. I didn't know PULY#, which seems right at 3L #knowledgeSAD
I missed 8K SEAfOAM, the best bingo by far, scoring 8 more points (ignoring the +5 for OMAkASE) and not opening a 3x3 lane. However, F13 OMA wins the sim. #findinglarge
I unfortunatly rushed this play because I realized this was better than anything else I had before Dan played MODISH. But the fact is, 11E T(R)ENChED or C(R)ENaTED are better regardless of what Dan played prior. #visionmedium
glad I didn't see GLITCHED (apparently not a word??) and let the phony go, definitely would have played it.
GLID/GILD K5, would have played that. #findingSAD
C: ugh RET? out of that poolllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll
A: Apparently 15A ThEATER is best. #strategysmall although Quackle is bad at pre-endgames
disappointing move. i wrote down LINTELED on my scoresheet and decided to not pull the trigger on it, even though i certainly liked it. no reason to chicken out on this. also DENTIL is 4 more. -41.5 #knowledgelarge
tried to calculate everything here, it appeared that I couldn't necessarily outrun (C)OWBELLS/BELLOWS 15G with (OY)E(R) H13. In effect, my time-troubled calculation was actually correct. If he has BELLOSW, OY(E)R is only a 4/5 win. Since I didn't know if that was the only loss after (OY)E(R) and OYER was really bad on spread, I decided to go for the obvious play here. It blocks all of the J bingos that I didn't calculate, though they probably all lose to OYER because they use up all the remaining vowels. The problem is that GIRO is only a 50% win if Matt has BELLOWS, and is very likely to lose to BECLOWN (4/5), by far the biggest threat in the position. GIRO also loses 4/5 to WEBCAST. GIRO appears to beat everything else. OYER might be better than GIRO. Upon further analysis, (OY)E(R) is probably best, though I haven't looked through all the fishes Matt could make thereafter. I am a bit upset that I didn't play it. #strategylarge
I'm more than a bingo behind and I'm not comfortable fishing because there's not a lotta places to bingo AND my opponent's gonna block them. 14I LARIAT also accomplishes the task of just scoring to keep the spread down. #knowledgesad for not knowing LARIAT
Sim slightly prefers G1 VIMS; it scores a lot more and doesn't offer parallels thanks to the V. In fact, VERMIL yields more points to Andrew on his next turn than VIMS does. Obviously, I do much better on my own next turn holding the S, but still #strategysmall
I was trying to block bingos on the A column making SCAB with a blank S, but the sim is noooot interested in that at all. I guess bingos on row 14 are a lot more likely and my plays score more there anyway? I kinda don't mind 6B HUM(O)R because it scores well and kinda obstructs the A column but 14H HUM sims best. This one might just have to go down in the books as a #strategysaddest
I considered this, FIE 11E and FETA 7G. I missed OHIA 11D which seems like the play. I didn't want to play FIE because it set up PIER with ECO and 6 R's out without a good lane on the board. OHIA sims better than HAO by 4 points, and I imagine it's even better than that in this position. #findingsmall
There are 7 wins for me here, ranging from just blocking 14J to outrunning with C1 CLOW. I have tracked correctly. I know my opponent has QUARTET on her rack. Unfortunately, I am low on time and do not see 14J QAT because I'm too busy looking for a spot for QUARTET. HUGE fail not blocking 14J. #endgamesaddest ALSO TOS*
for the love of god i need more than one vowel per rack. quackle just likes taking more pts with K4 NOD. i desperately wanted to block that AQUA hook and that side of the board.... -5 #strategymedium ?
wow, this play sims unexpectedly badly. i bingo a lot less than i thought i did -- only about 46%. I guess Ys are the worst letter in Scrabble. quackle likes 3L DY(K)E for 24 - even though i don't bingo often, i get a ton of points the next turn. -9.5 #strategylarge
Were TWIGHTING# not valid, JEE would win; it blocks Ben's outs and outruns J9 SH with 6H SET. Instead, JEE is a losing play. All of my winning plays make T(WIGhTING)#; M1 EST and SET are best. #knowledgelarge (-20)
Despite that it scores best, Quackle hates WRECK, because it keeps AEU with a vowel-heavy pool; 12K EAU is best, saving WRECK for next turn. #strategymedium
I overdrew here for the only time this tournament. And it's obviously since I had the blank. Luckily I didn't mix, so he only chose from the 5 I drew. CIZ and the Z is gone. Quackle agrees with that choice. Lucky it wasn't a bigger mistake, but losing the Z is pretty bad. B11 (J)IBE is the favourite. I couldn't stomach it. #strategymedium
yeah missed a lot of good options here, just kinda autopiloted. OI/OWE C13 is really nice to set up the L, and B2 PIOLET is a nice defensive option. this board has some marginal S hooks which is kinda annoying, so PIOLET is just to start outrunning bingoes. OI looks like the play #visionmedium
Now I kind of have to go here, and AEDINE is an improvement. Even if I don't draw a bingo, picking the X will be super helpful and I need turnover for that as well as the blank even with this consonant-heavy pool. #findingmedium
The sims said 6A SNOWMEN wins ~82% but 2J WOM(A)NS wins ~85%, which is a bit unintuitive. I think the sim might be overestimating 2J WOM(A)NS slightly because sometimes the opponent will fish 1 with 2 in the bag, but it might still be best. #strategysad