kind of an insane idea. Thought about IND(I)CT 5E which was also insane and fun. I also considered (I)NDICT, X(E)D and NIX(ED). The problem with this move is that I am keeping NN even when I cash the X on column F, which I think is workable, but what can't be worked around is that cashing the X sets up very easy overlaps for Joey. This means I either need to make sure I'm not keeping NN and score 4 less (and draw an O or A more often) or I just need to stomach playing the X now and ether fishing (XED now hits 30% next turn) or NIX(ED) which hits 20%. Quackle can't decide which INDICT placement is better, but those sim best. This is around 4 down. #strategysmall
Quackle remarks that MO 12A improves my bingo chances significantly. The I is useful since not many to redraw and the ING line I made with QUAG. MO is +5 apparently. PEONIS(M), which I also considered, does well too. #strategysmall
I thought the A(V)A play was genius, which it was, setting up Q(A)t/t(OY) and Qu(AY) unblockable. Sadly it gives me an out I somehow failed to see!!! And then I play this for some really stupid reason. Maybe hoping she missed Qu(AY)? #endgamesaddest
AX is the 2nd best play, but a distant 2nd behind N11 IXORA for 44. I need to dig for the 2nd blank better. 4 points might not seem like a lot, but turning over 3 more tiles is actually key here. #findinglarge
got kinda... idk aggressive loving or something, w the R out and the lead I liked having this leave, and to outscore with OLIVES hooks. however I should play OGIVE, which is a better version of this! I think I temporarily forgot that OGIVE took an S #knowledgesmall. I could see playing VOGIE as well, that is the type of play I usually make!
It is preferable to play thru this rack over exchanging, although exchanging down to CEN or CEIN doesn't sim too far back. 12H INU(R)E does score 6 more but I honestly didn't love the prospect of keeping CII here. I probably should have gone with INURE, nothing is really that good here. #strategysmall
14A TAPER was my first thought. G11 R(I)P sims second best, and I never thought of it. I decided there's no need to open the bottom, but I think RIP is probably correct, it sims 5 points higher. I bingo much more. #findingsmall
I was surprised to see NOTCH H8 outsim CLOTH-- probably due to the CLOTHE hook, as well as the possibility of the Q at J6 after NOTCH. (-2) #strategysmall
I didn't see the bingoes on Column I- hANGABL(E), GNAwABL(E), and GAiNABL(E) all play. However, not bingoing is actually better with all those 3x3s that those plays give up in a close game. If I'm not going to bingo, which I suppose I had the right idea either way, then O8 ALANG is definitely better. #findingmedium
12C VID for the much better leave and also 100% win. also, notably, H(UM)P seems to win 100% of the time even though it leaves ERECTILE open, probably because i'll score a lot in the triple. i didn't see anything else.. this is a big mistake for spread purposes. #tacticslarge -54
Of the generated plays that empty the bag, J12 SIFT is best, blocking the highest-scoring possible Z play, 15K Z(Y)MES. IF avoids the situations where Dennis bingos out and I am stuck with the Z, but it scores little and falls behind SIFT and several other plays in the sim. #strategylarge
this is actually a pretty counterproductive play. I need to admit I am at a disadvantage and play FIB 7K. This gives back too many bingos and scoring plays. I am setting up points on row 8, but also on row 4 with TEFF. Cool play that I should have seen. I saw BE(D)IM, which is also a lot better. #findingmedium #strategymedium
however, in 2017, I won against Joe Edley, thinking I had cashed, but everything else did not go my way and I ended up right outside the money. I saw WEEPIE and was just too uneasy about its validity to play it. I knew that I could afford a few small mistakes, so long as I didn't lose a turn. Though, I had lost a turn to Karl earlier in the tournament and still won that game. WEEPIE is obviously a word and I just have no self-confidence. #knowledgesmall
I don't remember my exact leave here and I didn't record it because I was extremely low on time. This is just a guess since I know I had AEIIRST the next turn. Regardless, this is almost certainly incorrect. #strategylarge
hated the idea of a forking bingo at 14H, creating H15 and O column stuff. This still creates long-term weaknesses. A similar idea is to play 8M LOO, block that S hook and scoring spot and keep a better leave. This deals with the more troublesome of the two spots a 14-row bingo would create, creating indirect prophylaxis. The idea of creating a new lane without blocking any specific bingos might have given me too much pause. #strategysmall
I don't need to be worried about being bingoed on, I need to worry about being outrun with the Z still out. H1 CEILIS is best simpy because it scores. #KNOWLEDGESADDEST #strategylarge
This needs to be HIN or HAN for sure, setting up a board where any -D bingo plays in several spots. There are six As unseen compared to just four Is, so HAN appears to have the tiniest edge. Both of those plays are incredibly close in sim with HAND and HIND but the little things matter... #tacticssmall
completely spaced on scart this game, so thought was being exteremely safe emptying the bag with safe, but most certainly was not #strategylarge #findinglarge
RandomRacer says I exchange too much, and if so, this could be an example, as OGEE 11h isn't such a terrible candidate. But I just really don't like playing through with QCR behind on this board when there's plenty of floaters and a perfectly good leave. Quackle has OGEE winning slightly but I just don't agree, but it also has CEOR as a trifle better which I think I agree with: I jettisoned this because of the O floater at b8, but after analysis I think the O is barely worth it, so this is #strategysmall
wow, really misevaluated this one. NEEPS for 37 is definitely better. Quackle also prefers playing HEP L11 and EPH(A) J1. HERPES at 8J also a good move here. #strategysmall
K5 JAY. I totally missed that spot. Also B10 CA(R)NY sets up a huge X spot which I guess is okay since I'm down a lot but I didn't even notice it. #VISIONSADDEST
was 90% sure of TURTLER, which wasn't enough apparently. Really bad confidence at this point. This could theoretically lose to something like BROADAX J7 and I don't draw a vowel. #knowledgesaddest
Apparently Exch. ILNNRV isn't bad given the pool but also, realistically, where am i gonna bingo that isn't from the N on the O column? I guess i could hope to draw a bingo from the A of FOEdARIE or one that underlaps TEA, making WEXES/WEXED? #strategysaddest Also this play was miscounted as 17
I am terrible. I thought it was only KNAIDELS and that I had phonied with SANDLIKE before, but it was DIRTLIKE* against Vera in 2013 where I had TIDELIKE available and chose wrong. Stupid stupid, this is the perfect time to phony anyway. Dahhhhh also KADI and KINDA..... #knowledgesaddest #findingsaddest
I need to lose by less than 257 to win the tournament. Losing by 257 exactly is a tie. This sets up an OUTVENOM extension that I didn't see for the whole game. 8H ENMOVE is slightly better. #findingsad
7F GOEL# is the clear best play, as it preserves the closed position and keeps the best possible leave, including an S to hook onto AUA# or LUV. #strategymedium
I don't know if I ever realized I had SOLUNAR. My handwriting later in the game doesn't give anything away. I know I never alphagrammed just the rack on my scoresheet, just 8s through the I and T. #findingsaddest
It's not bad for the score, but if I wasn't willing to do 1M (S)OB as that appears to give up too many points, 4G BOOR once again makes a lane that will be easy to use to access the left side of the board and keeps better. But even better is 4B OBVERT as that forks vertical lines and dumps the V. #visionsmall
This is top equity, but I'm really disappointed in myself for this move. RORE is a flashing neon sign that Winter has the X or in the best case scenario for me is hoping to get it on his draw. Josh Sokol, please forgive me for not learning my lessons from you. I deserved to get hit with a ZEX bomb for 90 points after this. The play is obviously J10 WRIT. #strategylarge
TOPS is just so good on both row 10 and column i and also maintains a better balance and I really like it in terms of decreasing variance: I'm basically assured a decent play next turn with a balanced leave that has good upside, as opposed to PRS which can easily crash. Still, this isn't worth it: I know Norases has an A a lot, these spots are not really that good, and I'm giving my opponent over 8 points in expected score next turn while sacrificing 2 points. The OPST flexibility just doesn't make up for the fact that it's certainly nowhere 10 points better than PRS #strategymedium