missing the huge 14J VERSO #findingsaddest
I didn't see much I was drawing after the Q drop, but reasoned it might still be better than this. Quackle says this is 6 points worse than QI, citing a 24% chance of a bingo, which is way higher than I thought. I missed OVERSHO(T) I1 and OVERSOO(N) G1 in my iteration, and didn't know CROOVES#, and missed ANS# against so didh't think HOOVERS would play. #visionsaddest
the insane thing is that i still have a 96% chance of winning after this. what i really need to do is find L2 NEUROmA #findingsad or play 8M (N)AN to open up space and keep the U for the Q. #strategysad
i challenged this ridiculous word. i looked at my study history and i had guessed it correctly, once, months ago, and never saw it again. jonathan told me he was very surprised i challenged this... but podgy is already a dumb spelling of pudgy, how the hell can podgily be good? in a podgy manner? stupidass dictionary. what a way to lose games. -51 #knowledgelarge
I was still tilted from missing the winning pass in the previous game against Mark, so I thought I'd make up for it and pass here. N1 VEND is fine. #strategysad
This was just a clear misevaluation of an opening position I think. The math in my head was all wrong. There are three plays better than this one, I like VET the best #strategysmall
A9 STROBIC #knowledgesaddest for the bing AND the BLEAKY hook T_T also D12 B(A)C is a slightly better version of what i was trying to do with setting up my S
1F ST(O)OKIES or 1F SO(O)KIEST or 1E STO(O)KIES. I'd like to think that I would have found the bings with more time, because I had almost none at this point, so I'm marking this as #TIMESADDEST
MM: This is not a good play for two reasons. 1) I should block 2B RIN/NEW with TOLT, which is 10 better. 2) TROOK* is not a word. #endgamemedium
JM: No such thing as TROOK*. I must have been thinking of STROOK. Spread meant very little to me at this juncture.
Not bad, but K1 (HE)L(I)X is a little better. With the FAKIES hook open, I'd rather dump the X and try to bingo asap instead of doing M1 LUNS. But yea, HELIX it is. #visionsmall
13I DROWN is simming best, which sort of says something about the position. I think I was trying too hard for the J setup, although he does have unconducive tiles to block the setup with. #tacticssmall
This hits a few sevens, but they're all too easiliy blocked. The best play seems to be 10L (G)OV, which Championship Player says wins 14% of the time. I guess if I draw a bing that ends in S or starts with A, E, I, or O, my bing can't be blocked? That's the only thing I can think of. #strategylarge
TALLY isn't really a dramatic enough fork to do over just I6 LAZY; a play to the triple after TALLY leaves a horrendous board for scoring if I don't hit a bingo, and hitting one isn't very likely. That being said, LAZY can get me fenced in pretty much immediately as well. Tough spot. I think LAZY is better. #strategysmall
NC: Exch. NOQ I'm a dumbass. I saw the floating G and I thought "I don't need the G" but I can play 5F bingos ending in ING by keeping it #STRATEGYMEDIUM #VISIONSADDER
L7 SHARDED. I knew SHARDING* was a phony and that SHARD was a noun, but I also felt like there was a bingo in this rack and got confused with HADDIES. #KNOWLEDGESADDEST
sim thinks I'm overthinking it and just HM 1A is fine. I wanted to block some stuff at some point with two blanks out. This blocks the C and sets up my M to block the BROWNS hook #strategymedium
Her only out play is A6 LE(AR)N, so this scores while blocking her only out. But come to think of it, J11 D(E)VS gets more stuff off my rack. So it's better to allow her to go out. #endgamelarge
I wish I could say I picked INVESTOR because I balked at all the CONTRIVE hooks - but in fact I actually just somehow missed CONTRIVE despite looking at the C. #findingsmall
Yeah ugh this was difficult. On the one hand JOB C1 just looks like the play. Creates a big spot but blocks the likelier lane, and scores better than GOJI. But I got worried about him fishing for JEZAIL or having it. That's not really enough for him to win though, so I shouldn't have worried #tacticssmall
an unaggressive, lame move. BOW at H13 is probably better. but BROWS/CROWS at 14B for 39 pts is best. i didn't even bother counting the score. i think if i had counted it i would have realized that's the play i want to make. it's really really hard to focus when you're 1-5. i was probably on autopilot trying to keep the RS combo etc. instead of thinking about the game situation. -8.5 #strategylarge
Right idea to use this spot to score and pull ahead. Looking back, I should have seen ALMS in this spot since it's harder to end bingoes with an A than an L. #findingsmall
now, CZA(R) 4G is important to find. I can also just play CA(V)A, not sure how I missed that one. I knew this was a terrible move, but for some reason I just couldn't find anything else. #findingSAD
I overestimated how big this spot I was setting up was, his average goes waaaay up. making this lane probahbly helps me a bit, I end up bingoing as much after PUB as u fishes like PIU, but yeah PUB just gives him a much bigger spot on a subpar scoring board. PIU or PRAUS seem okay here. I would probably do PIU. #tacticsmedium
i considered not burning my S. i could save that spot, or let him burn equity trying to block it. what do you think? i could play 1G GYNO keeping RST. or even GYNOS keeping a more synergystic RT. -2 #tacticssmall
I was proud of this play, setting up my J at 8L with only one T unseen. Championship Player does not consider IVY and favors JIVY instead; I am disappointed to see that JIVY also wins a sim against IVY. #tacticssad
I missed literally all of the bingos he could have at 14H. What the fuck was I doing this game? EMERITI, EUCRITE/ERUDITE, RETINUE. I need to block those, the best way is to play 14F (Z)OA which saves (REJECT)ABlE for next turn, which I at least saw. I just though that this didn't give anything back but it does, it gives back nITERIE too. #findinglarge #preendgamelarge
N10 BEG sims best against a random rack, but after 9K S(O) and the available pool, it seems extremely likely that he has another S. It seemed like the game would be over if I play N10 BEG and he bingos on the O column or even just plays there with his S and I'm holding the Q. I thought my best shot was to to throw the Q back (holding consonants because I thought the bag seemed slightly vowel heavy) and hope he draws it after his N column bingo and I respond with an 1H bingo or column O bingo. However, even simming against the best possible racks, N10 BEG is winning every time. It's probably partly because he is unlikely to be holding a U, which gives me a good chance of drawing a U after N10 BEG. But even with AENQU??, I'm not sure how I can ever win after a column O play. #strategysaddest
This isn't bad equitywise. But it does allow Joel to play 9s ending with -IER that can get him back in the game, namely GROUCHIER. I think a better move that still allows me to retain my only vowel is 9F T(E)N(NE)R for 14. Row 15 bingoes are not as scary as they normally might be since it's hard to end an 8 with -IE and there are no more unseen As, so Joel cannot extend from an E to the bottom right corner. Also, I eliminate 2x2s from the N in LAMINATED. #findingsmall
DUFF is actually a little bit better. frank played FIR rapidly and confidently. he probably has a good leave. i didn't want it to be too easy to bingo, i guess, but FEUD doesn't really block anything. -2.5 #tacticssmall