I felt like my S was going to be very powerful here with LANTERNS and other scoring plays, so decided against EXPOSE for 8 more, even though the blank is good to draw. Q prefers EX/BINE by a bit, I score as well with EEPPS next turn. #tacticssmall also prefers EXPOSE, that ends up simming best. I suppose reaching for blanks mainly, hmm.
I put an exclamation point here. I don't know if I didn't see that she had AXE for 57 (doubt I missed that) or if I felt she would miss it again or if I just wanted to go for equity despite knowledge of her rack. Weird. I feel like J5 OW is clear. #strategymedium
I saw but hated how blocky D9 TOPO was. I liked this move to eventually open up the top left because I have the P hook for POI. Maybe OVATE would have been a better version of this if I was going to also pass up G12 OPT. #strategysmall
It would not have been necessary to take advantage of the DAWTS hook since I did not see 1H (G)OuRMETS for 89. Also a cool bingo which I did not know was 1H (G)ROmMETS. #findingmedium
I do draw a bingo starting in B, but I miss the gorgeous MES(H)WORK F2 and make my most hilarious blunder of the tournament. Thinking of BITEWING(S). This was so crazy it worked. Billy held and released. #knowledgeSADDEST
Spent around 1.5 minutes here, knowing I needed to speed up. I should have easily spotted TRiAGED, which doubles G and D. The only issue is the X spot that creates, but I would be slightly closer to drawing it than Jackson, so it might even be beneficial to me. Quackle rates this as a bit more than 2 points worse #findingsmall
I was thinking about blocking the N on M2 here, but Quackle thinks I should just play D4 WI(R)E. Playing N1 LAW doesn't stop the other bingo lanes that are still on this board, and I get hit back with O1 AVE anyway (and my opponent holds on to the blank). #strategysmall
I did see OXY in this spot but I wasn't willing to do that after Noah exposed an F. That would have given him great counterplay. Probably E7 UNAXED would have been a little better just because the X is a terrible tile to keep on this board too. #findingsmall
convincingly better to put the blank on the 4 row rather than the 3 row oh nvm things evened out at 19000 iterations
I remember when I relied on short sims to justify totally ridiculous nitpicky situations like these, now I'm sitting here super happy that BLoOPER(S) is now on top by .1 point
Oh wait I'm simming the wrong position. He played MOJO(S) E4 instead of L4, but you know that because I've already changed the annotation. Now to sim the actual position 20 thousand times
well PROBLEm(S) is simming on top. I lose. #tacticssmall
Just kidding, we're now at 6500 iterations and my play is on top. BLOoPERS is 3rd behind PROBLEm(S).
considered K2 POLKA but in the end i can't pass up that many pts, even if i have the case S -- i have the blank! and this move ties the game. i also wanted to take a potential big -ED play for him. didn't think of 6J FLANK. -3 #strategysmall -- i suppose.
still in a really good position, even though I can't block the 14 lane without giving back a bigger lane. I would have liked to leave 1 in the bag, but didn't realize at the time how crucial that was. The entire plan with U(K)E or 10M (N)EE is for him to bingo on row 14 immediately, giving me back plays on row 15 that should easily outrun. However, leaving 2 in the bag allows him to fish one, possibly N(U) 12C - after UKE I'm up 60, 58 after the fish. It's really hard for me to block bingoes, and I'm stuck either trying to outrun by playing something clunky on row 14 (again hard to not give back good overlaps, gotta hope for like GENUS or something), or outrunning with a UKES play, which will put me up 84 or 87 (depending on if I draw the G). After he gets my rack, I will be up between 76 and 81, and a lot of his row 14 bingoes score more than that (e.g. GIGATON, INNAGES). I'm still in a decent position given that outcome, but he could also fish for a higher score and still not allow me to block - e.g. ZA or ATE. Perhaps I should do RE(D)E 13K to play 3 tiles, forcing him to bingo immediately. It puts me up 60, but all his bingoes will be on the 14 row, and I saw my T for HIST and S for other HI? plays, so I should be outrunning even his 80 point bingoes very often. Although UKE is great for spread, it opens the door to some really great 1 tiles fishes that I can lose to quite often. #strategylarge
AGINT better than EGINT, that's news to me. I'm heading nowhere in this position without an S, though if he bingos first (which I would prefer to prevent) it will often give me a commeback. FEH sims 4 points higher, gotta trust that #tacticssmall
14H (S)pELAEAN is 78! Despite AnNEALED being better because of the placement of the N, it was not worth the extra second to replace the two N's once I had laid the play down. #findingmedium
Saw ClAQUER for 125 hooking CANON before he played. Tilted after, and missed the A4 QUARE for 87 leaving C? and the clearly best A2 ACQUiRE for 146. #findingsaddest
weird decision by me. I should just keep Z or ZN, ZNT is wayy to conso heavy in this early game position. I felt like I was responding to a bingo so I wanted to be ready, but ZN is ready. #strategysmall
Waffled over VAWS, O1 EA, and NAVE for quite a while. I was going for the final blow bingo, and indeed I do get a massive amount more bingos down after NAVE; but VAWS still seems like the right play here, going up by 70 and keeping the board very tight. #tacticssmall
Really bad strategic fuckup. I thought after 2F CLY blocks 2B bingos I should be the clear favorite, but the score is too close to be doing this. I should have just played equity with 10I WYTE. #STRATEGYSADDEST
I completely missed the STONIEST hook and also looked for bingoes ending at 15H and didn't come across SUNlIKE or SpUNKIE for 92 each. I thought this might be a great non-bingo until I post-mortemed this and realized just how bad this turn actually was. #findingsad
could also do PAH for one point less to further restrict overrlaps. I retain the only two letters in the pool that can overlap PA. Furthermore, he can set up D(RAG) or B(RAG) after either play with R(AG) for 4, but I can draw an E to block with TE(PA) after PAH and it is much trickier to block after HAP. B(ROO) is the lurking threat here, he could just bingo there at any time, but making another spot with R(AG) might just be his key to victory in some lines. #tacticssmall
well now i'm worried so it's ok to sacrifice some equity to block here. 3K OBOE just seems way too aggressive right? i guess OTIC keeps way too terrible of a leave, and he could still bingo through the B or something. M3 OE might be ok. idk. -12.5 #strategylarge
For only 7 more points, C12 EAUX just felt too reckless. I do keep better, but there's still too many things Paul could hit. A simulation actually does prefer C12 EAU setting up my X since I could hit 15A COX on my next turn. In addition, Paul actually averages the same after XU vs EAU. I should have given more thought to doing EAU despite the X not being very good immediately. #strategysmall
A8 WEiGElI(A)/A8 WEIGEli(A) ties after B2 HIPLINE and loses to 4C ELENCHI. I undercounted my score by 1 point so I thought B2 HIPLINE would lose. There are 4 winning plays here. This is one of them, which is better than the also winning B2 WEIGhEd but worse than B2 pIGWEEd. The best play is the savage K9 (OR)G, which I'm guessing always bingos next turn because Championship Player is giving it 40 more points of valuation than B2 pIGWEEd. #ENDGAMESADDEST
wow i didn't expect XU 9H to sim that much better if at all. XU really limits her score next turn. it's ok to play defense if i'm down. -4 #strategymedium
2B POA is nice #findingsadder. I mean yeah Quackle likes 14B APSO too, simming just below POA, and it scores 30, but I really don't want to open the triple lane for no good reason. Thoughts?
I think I saw 4L VOE but didn't fully appreciate it. Not only does it partially block column O, it saves A8 DRUNK for next turn. And it has better equity! ENV is worse than I expected. #tacticsmedium
Didn't know BRACT took an S so I tried to set up bingos ending in G or GS instead, even though there's like 2 Ns left. It's not enough. #strategysaddest #knowledgesaddest
failed to find plays here, many plays look good that I didn't see. This was the start of me thinking I was ahead, when Noah and I were actually around tied. DUNGAREE scored a lot. 13C MOONI(L)Y looks decent here. 9G O(T)IC is very nice, and M(O)ONY only does well because it keeps O(T)IC for next turn. N10 (D)OOMY is also a good play. #findingsmall
Admittedly, I was nervous about the Q, which is why I passed up I1 PUJA as the Q only would have played at B7 until my move. PUJA would have been fine as Robin can't do much with this pool. #strategyquestionable
I didn't like 11A COO(K)IE with what that gave back to him. I also wasn't a fan of getting rid of my E with C11 OPE. KOP isn't bad since I have 2 open Ns, but I think I needed a move that plays longer since CEILO is a bit risky of a leave- 10B PI(C)COLO accomplishes that while also being fairly sound. #findingmedium
Just MEEK seems fine, I bingo a ton more to the T. Also considered 14G ACME to block rows 14 and 15, but didn't like that it opened a new sevens lane for -ST words and an easy triple. #strategysmall
This was not a great time to dump my U separate from something since he has the Q. It's possible he had more clunk after also showing a P and a K. I have to assume he will dump the Q next turn. With QOPK specified as a partial rack, I think if I wanted to make my type of play, 4K RULY is a better version of this since I also have 1 more shot to draw a scoring tile compatible with the N10 hotspot. #strategylarge
13A MAX gives back a lot on column A and row 14, but there is already a lot of scoring potential on this board, and MAX unloads one of my A's and scores one more point. #strategysmall
1) I should know the extensions for PRIZE if I play PRIZE 2) I should have calculated the difference between ZIG and PRIZE better
3) I should see PIEZO ffs #findingmedium #strategymedium
quackle doesn't like moves like this, trying to "end the game faster". i was mostly going for some of those goodies, like the S or the third blank (the Z). but a V leave sucks. V(E)ENA at K2 is awesome and it blocks the R in case she has some crazy bingo. -13 #strategylarge #focus
Bad move. 7E WROTE is fine, despite how horrible the G is, two G's isn't much worse and it doesn't give back as much. Also points. I missed WROTE, too equity-minded
#findingmedium
#tacticsmedium
J4 ICEB(O)ATS #findingsaddest also #knowledgesad for challenge also I'm so sorry if you're rooting for the underdog in this game because i straight up zonked out
IN MY HEAD I SHIT YOU NOT I WENT "oh I need an N for NEONATAL" and then i DIDNT. SEE. THE. FUCKING. N. I just spent the whole time being like "huh i wonder if I should play OAT or AAL" instead!!! AND I PICKED THE WRONG ONE LMAOOO #VISIONSADDEST
Quackle heavily favors 13J ETIC. I suppose it reduces Kenji's scoring potential by blocking 15J plays making ZA, and 10N YE is likely to stay open. #tacticsmedium
Although I'm in a great position after HAMATE (his bingoes will empty the bag, leaving me up a tempo in a close endgame, meaning a very likely win), I should still do AHEM N11 - I really loved what that did, but I was only 90% sure that AHEM didn't take an S, and if it takes an S that could be a game-losing mistake. I felt like the chance that AHEM took an S was higher than the chance that HAMATE would lose me the game when AHEM would win me the game. Either way this is just an estimation and a clear word knowledge error. #knowledgemedium
Sim likes POUF which I wouldn't do, but 6E OAF setting up potential MARID reparallels looks pretty good. I think I saw that but didn't appreciate it fully. #strategysmall
Saw both playable sevens here but somehow spaced on the T hook to OP - to make matters worse I took five full minutes looking through all the open 8s lanes. #visionlarge 16:18
I missed a really cool play here: 4K AR(E)CA. Even though it is a huge point sacrifice, Noah is going to have a hard time blocking the board after that, and there's still 3 Is and 4 Ns left to hit gerund bingoes on Column E. #visionmedium
considered dropping the K and this or TRAIK. I didn't consider KI or KA. KI is clearly better than KA because it allows so much less counterplay at N10. TRAIK might also be better than KRAIT because is slows Steven down more than it slows me down, I don't really want to bingo at M1 despite it being the most fortuitous lane on the board. M9 KI is the play. #findingsmall
Quackle likes 11E TREYS to score 10 more and restrict the 11 row, but I'm not so sure - between row 11 and SAL I'm pretty likely to bingo with EIRS after NUTSY. #strategysmall if anything.